Lübeck 0-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.33
No
34%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
71%
-5.1pp
34%
BTTS No
29%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.41
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
324 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
17.04.2025 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
20.08.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.11.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg nicked a narrow win over Lübeck 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lübeck at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lübeck and 1.33 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?

Lübeck 0-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 51%, draw 20%, Weiche Flensburg 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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