VfB Oldenburg 3-1 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.29
No
32%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.3pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
68%
BTTS Yes
73%
-5.2pp
32%
BTTS No
27%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
2.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.56
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
27.02.2025 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-2 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-3 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg got the better of Werder Bremen II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.33 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II?

VfB Oldenburg 3-1 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 51%, draw 29%, Werder Bremen II 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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