Universitario vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitario v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Universitario
PER
2-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau squeezed past Universitario 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Universitario at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Universitario had 63% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 37%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.83 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universitario and 0.83 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Universitario 65%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5 went the other way.