Melgar vs Sport Huancayo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Sport Huancayo — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Sport Huancayo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Sport Huancayo
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar ran out comfortable winners over Sport Huancayo 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melgar had 57% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 43%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.02 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Melgar and 1.50 for Sport Huancayo.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Melgar 64%, draw 20%, Sport Huancayo 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.