Academica 3-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.68/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.80
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +77%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trofense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 1.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
409 Passes 178
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
08.05.2022 Trofense Trofense 2-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
28.12.2021 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR2
21.11.2015 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POK
08.03.2009 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR
24.10.2008 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
3-0
AWAY Trofense
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Academica vs Trofense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Academica ran out comfortable winners over Trofense 3-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16 May 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Academica had 46% of the ball to Trofense's 54%, shots finished 10-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academica and 0.67 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Academica vs Trofense?

Academica 3-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Academica 54%, draw 24%, Trofense 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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