Trofense 1-2 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.48/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.97
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Academica
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.66 xG 1.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
178 Passes 409
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.05.2022 Trofense Trofense 2-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
28.12.2021 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR2
21.11.2015 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POK
08.03.2009 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR
24.10.2008 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-2
AWAY Academica
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Trofense vs Academica
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Academica edged past Trofense 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22 Mar 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trofense had 49% of the ball to Academica's 51%, shots finished 5-13.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Trofense and 0.60 for Academica.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Academica?

Trofense 1-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trofense 31%, draw 30%, Academica 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5
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