Mafra 1-4 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 43%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.45
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
425 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 CF Os Belenenses 2-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
09.08.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
02.02.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
26.08.2023 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
13.05.2023 CF Os Belenenses 2-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
07.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 0-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-4
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses swept aside Mafra 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day CF Os Belenenses made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra had 56% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 44%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra and 1.33 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Mafra 1-4 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 35%, draw 27%, CF Os Belenenses 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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