Caldas 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.00
-32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.01.2026 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
26.10.2025 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 0-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas and Lusitano Évora 1911 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Caldas had 56% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 44%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caldas and 0.67 for Lusitano Évora 1911.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Caldas 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Caldas 36%, draw 27%, Lusitano Évora 1911 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5
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