Fafe 1-0 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2026

Fafe
1-0 HT 0-0
Paredes
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.93
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Paredes
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
29.11.2025 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
17.08.2025 Paredes Paredes 1-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
28.01.2023 Paredes Paredes 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
09.10.2022 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-0
AWAY Paredes
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe nicked a narrow win over Paredes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Fafe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Fafe had 46% of the ball to Paredes's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fafe and 0.40 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Paredes?

Fafe 1-0 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fafe 40%, draw 29%, Paredes 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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