Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-3 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.06/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.22
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Amarante
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 Amarante Amarante 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
29.11.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-2 HT 0-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
17.08.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-3 HT 1-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
1-3
AWAY Amarante
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Amarante beat Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-1 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16 May 2026. Half-time: 0-3.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 59% of the ball to Amarante's 41%, shots finished 20-5.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amarante lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 2.00 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante?

Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-3 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 33%, draw 26%, Amarante 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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