CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.55
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Mafra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
242 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Mafra Mafra 1-4 HT 1-3 CF Os Belenenses POR3
09.11.2025 CF Os Belenenses 2-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
09.08.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
02.02.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
26.08.2023 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
13.05.2023 CF Os Belenenses 2-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
3-1
AWAY Mafra
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CF Os Belenenses beat Mafra 3-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 42% of the ball to Mafra's 58%, shots finished 17-16.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.17 for Mafra.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?

CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 49%, draw 30%, Mafra 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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