Triglav 0-4 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-3.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
3.13/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.14
+47% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bistrica
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Bistrica Bistrica 4-3 HT 2-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
06.04.2025 Bistrica Bistrica 2-3 HT 1-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
21.09.2024 Triglav Triglav 3-1 HT 2-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
17.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-3 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
0-4
AWAY Bistrica
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica ran out comfortable winners over Triglav 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Triglav at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Triglav had 55% of the ball to Bistrica's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triglav had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Triglav and 2.00 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Bistrica?

Triglav 0-4 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Triglav 69%, draw 16%, Bistrica 15%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Triglav), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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