Celje 1-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

Celje
1-2 HT 0-1
Koper
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -12%
1.66/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.55
+14% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
30.11.2025 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
14.09.2025 Koper Koper 3-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
14.05.2025 Koper Koper 0-4 HT 0-3 Celje Celje SLVNK
10.05.2025 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
30.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
1-2
AWAY Koper
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper nicked a narrow win over Celje 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Celje had 55% of the ball to Koper's 45%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celje and 1.33 for Koper.

What was the final score of Celje vs Koper?

Celje 1-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Celje 49%, draw 31%, Koper 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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