Koper 3-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

Koper
3-3 HT 1-0
Celje
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
55%
Away Win
51%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
0.98/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.85
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
237 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celje
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 Koper Koper 0-4 HT 0-3 Celje Celje SLVNK
10.05.2025 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
30.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.11.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
01.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
12.05.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
3-3
AWAY Celje
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Koper vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper and Celje shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Celje carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Koper had 49% of the ball to Celje's 51%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Koper and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Koper vs Celje?

Koper 3-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Koper 24%, draw 21%, Celje 55%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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