Celje 1-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2025

Celje
1-1 HT 1-1
Koper
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.1pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.08/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.64
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Koper
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Koper Koper 3-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
14.05.2025 Koper Koper 0-4 HT 0-3 Celje Celje SLVNK
10.05.2025 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
30.04.2025 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.11.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
01.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
1-1
AWAY Koper
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Celje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Koper shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celje at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Celje had 54% of the ball to Koper's 46%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Celje vs Koper?

Celje 1-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Celje 59%, draw 21%, Koper 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
30 Nov 2025
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