Boston River 4-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.41
-5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cerro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
09.11.2025 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
19.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
06.07.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
19.05.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
4-1
AWAY Cerro
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River cruised past Cerro 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Boston River had 58% of the ball to Cerro's 42%, shots finished 19-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boston River and 0.33 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro?

Boston River 4-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Boston River 52%, draw 25%, Cerro 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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16 May 2026
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