Torque 1-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 46%
-20% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
0.92/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.24
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2026 Torque Torque 2-3 HT 1-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
02.08.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-2 HT 3-2 Torque Torque URU
01.06.2025 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
03.02.2025 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.12.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.05.2023 Torque Torque 0-4 HT 0-4 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
1-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torque vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football edged past Torque 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Nacional de Football found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torque had 49% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Torque and 2.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Torque 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torque 35%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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16 May 2026
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