AE Larissa 2-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
42%
-12.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +32%
1.03/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.06
-13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.5 Crosses 17.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2026 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 3-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
21.12.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
03.12.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
29.09.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
16.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 4-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
06.12.2023 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
2-1
AWAY Atromitos
1.45 xG 1.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
357 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AE Larissa squeezed past Atromitos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; AE Larissa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AE Larissa had 51% of the ball to Atromitos's 49%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.45 to 1.86 — on chances, Atromitos could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AE Larissa and 1.67 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Atromitos?

AE Larissa 2-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 30%, draw 33%, Atromitos 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atromitos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
16 May 2026
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