Afturelding 3-2 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.7pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
3.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.10
+29% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2026 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-3 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
08.08.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
31.05.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
13.04.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
23.02.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-3 HT 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
24.09.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding nicked a narrow win over Leiknir Reykjavik 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Afturelding and 0.83 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Afturelding 3-2 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 67%, draw 13%, Leiknir Reykjavik 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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