Guangxi Baoyun 3-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
0.76/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.05
-27% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
14.7 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 262
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
27.04.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
26.10.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun beat Foshan Nanshi 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Baoyun found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Guangxi Baoyun 3-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 39%, draw 29%, Foshan Nanshi 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
16 Aug 2025
14:00 Shanghai Jiading vs Suzhou Dongwu Analysis →
14:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou E-Power Analysis →
14:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Dalian Huayi Analysis →