Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.81/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.22
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
24.5 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 1-3 HT 1-3 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
12.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
01.06.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.39 xG 1.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
391 Passes 251
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang squeezed past Qingdao Red Lions 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 58% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 42%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.39 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 66%, draw 20%, Qingdao Red Lions 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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