Rochdale 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
7%
8.29
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.8
2/2
9%
6.27
2/X
8%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.14/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.78
+33% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
184 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 113 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Altrincham Altrincham 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
11.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
01.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İNFAT
10.02.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale squeezed past Altrincham 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rochdale and 0.80 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Altrincham?

Rochdale 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 53%, draw 25%, Altrincham 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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