Altrincham 1-2 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.89
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
11%
5.76
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.87
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.85/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
+39% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
187 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rochdale
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
01.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İNFAT
10.02.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY Rochdale
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale edged past Altrincham 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altrincham had 57% of the ball to Rochdale's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Altrincham and 2.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Rochdale?

Altrincham 1-2 Rochdale in the England - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 36%, draw 29%, Rochdale 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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