Derry City vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Drogheda United
İRL
Derry City 1-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Drogheda United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Derry City had 65% of the ball to Drogheda United's 35%, shots finished 21-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Derry City and 1.50 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Derry City 53%, draw 29%, Drogheda United 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.