Monaco 3-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.63
Over
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.68
2-3
38%
2.02
4-5
29%
2.49
6+
14%
5.48
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.68 — our 19% vs market 12.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.38
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.35
X/1
12%
3.84
X/2
3%
22.35
X/X
7%
9.25
2/1
11%
20.65
2/2
4%
18.45
2/X
3%
26.0
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 12%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
2.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.93
+9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.1 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 0.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
450 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.09.2024 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
04.02.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
11.11.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
08.02.2013 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
31.08.2012 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
3-1
AWAY Le Havre
1.76 xG 0.60
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
643 Passes 175
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Monaco vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco put daylight between themselves and Le Havre 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 74% to 26% in Monaco's favour, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.76 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Monaco against 1.00 for Le Havre.

Monaco vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Monaco 3-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Monaco 75%, draw 15%, Le Havre 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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