Nice 0-1 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Aug 2025

Nice
0-1 HT 0-0
Toulouse
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Nice vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
31%
2.92
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.67
6+
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
17%
4.76
X/2
8%
7.1
X/X
16%
4.32
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
4%
13.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nice v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse The Market 27%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.70
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.1 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Nice vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Toulouse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
428 Passes 363
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.02.2025 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
25.08.2024 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
03.03.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 2-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
26.11.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
21.05.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
07.08.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 0-1 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0-1
AWAY Toulouse
0.79 xG 0.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
403 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 33
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Nice vs Toulouse
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toulouse squeezed past Nice 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 47% lean on Nice didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Nice had 57% of the ball to Toulouse's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nice and 0.83 for Toulouse.

Nice vs Toulouse Result & Final Score

Nice 0-1 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nice vs Toulouse Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nice 47%, draw 27%, Toulouse 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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