Cartagena 2-1 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

Cartagena
2-1 HT 1-1
Elche II
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Cartagena vs Elche II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
18.1
X/1
25%
3.64
X/2
8%
12.7
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
11%
24.95
2/2
6%
11.6
2/X
7%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cartagena v Elche II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cartagena 2-1 Elche II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
2-1
AWAY Elche II
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Elche II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cartagena as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cartagena had 57% of the ball to Elche II's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Elche II?

Cartagena 2-1 Elche II in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 53%, draw 27%, Elche II 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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