Villarreal II 1-1 Valencia II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.28
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 34% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia II EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Valencia II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2021 Valencia II Valencia II 1-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
29.11.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
02.11.2019 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-1 HT 0-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
06.04.2014 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 2-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-1
AWAY Valencia II
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Valencia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Valencia II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Villarreal II had 49% of the ball to Valencia II's 51%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 1.00 for Valencia II.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Valencia II?

Villarreal II 1-1 Valencia II in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Valencia II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 45%, draw 22%, Valencia II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villarreal II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
16 Aug 2025
00:00 Real Oviedo II vs Caudal Deportivo Analysis →
00:00 Roma vs Neom SC Analysis →
00:00 Inter vs Olympiakos Analysis →
11:00 Cartagena vs Elche II Analysis →
11:00 RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
12:00 Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida Analysis →