Real Oviedo II 3-5 Caudal Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Caudal Deportivo EU Bookmakers 27%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caudal Deportivo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2022 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 2-0 HT 1-0 Caudal Deportivo Caudal Deportivo HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo II
3-5
AWAY Caudal Deportivo
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo II vs Caudal Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caudal Deportivo beat Real Oviedo II 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Oviedo II had 68% of the ball to Caudal Deportivo's 32%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo II vs Caudal Deportivo?

Real Oviedo II 3-5 Caudal Deportivo in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo II vs Caudal Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo II 44%, draw 26%, Caudal Deportivo 30%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Oviedo II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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