Roma 2-2 Neom SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

Roma
2-2 HT 2-2
Neom SC
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Roma vs Neom SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
11%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.4
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.95
X/1
19%
3.83
X/2
5%
20.95
X/X
7%
9.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.35
2/2
3%
17.3
2/X
4%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roma v Neom SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Neom SC EU Bookmakers 12%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.9 Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards –

Roma 2-2 Neom SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
2-2
AWAY Neom SC
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
433 Passes 312
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Roma vs Neom SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma and Neom SC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. Roma carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roma had 57% of the ball to Neom SC's 43%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Roma vs Neom SC?

Roma 2-2 Neom SC in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Neom SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Roma 69%, draw 19%, Neom SC 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Over 2.5
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