RCD Carabanchel 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
41%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 28% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-12.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RCD Carabanchel EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RCD Carabanchel
0-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda edged past RCD Carabanchel 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Majadahonda as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RCD Carabanchel had 39% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 61%, shots finished 4-8.

What was the final score of RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Majadahonda?

RCD Carabanchel 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RCD Carabanchel 28%, draw 31%, Rayo Majadahonda 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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