Zalgiris II 1-2 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.06/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
+22% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Nevezis
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Nevezis Nevezis 1-4 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
31.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 4-1 HT 2-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
14.04.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-4 HT 0-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
08.10.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-3 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
02.06.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 7-1 HT 4-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
1-2
AWAY Nevezis
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Zalgiris II carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 58% of the ball to Nevezis's 42%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Zalgiris II and 3.80 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Nevezis?

Zalgiris II 1-2 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 56%, draw 23%, Nevezis 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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