Minija 0-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +26%
1.29/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.36
-15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
02.11.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 Minija Minija LIT1
15.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-1 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
04.11.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
02.07.2022 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
0-1
AWAY Atmosfera
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minija vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Minija 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atmosfera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Minija had 50% of the ball to Atmosfera's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Minija and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Minija vs Atmosfera?

Minija 0-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Minija 32%, draw 28%, Atmosfera 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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