Panevezys II 2-2 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
14%
3.8
Away
66%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
32%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.8pp
14%
Draw
23%
-8.4pp
66%
Away Win
55%
+11.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 60%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.74/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.10
-30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-4D-1L
AWAY BFA
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 BFA BFA 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
19.10.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
02.06.2024 BFA BFA 3-3 HT 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
31.07.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
11.03.2023 BFA BFA 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
05.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
2-2
AWAY BFA
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II and BFA couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BFA at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Panevezys II had 42% of the ball to BFA's 58%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panevezys II and 2.00 for BFA.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs BFA?

Panevezys II 2-2 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 20%, draw 14%, BFA 66%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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