Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
0.93/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.34
-26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.48 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 176
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
05.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CSA
17.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Ameliano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 60% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 40%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.83 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 44%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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