Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
0.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.31
-27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.48 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 176
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CSA
17.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-2
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and Sportivo Luqueno couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 60% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 40%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 37%, draw 32%, Sportivo Luqueno 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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