Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.49 xG 0.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
176 Passes 291
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno saw off Sportivo Ameliano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Sportivo Luqueno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 40% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 60%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.49 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 32%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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