Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
7%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.09.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
17.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
07.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CON CSA
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.65 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi squeezed past Universitario de Vinto 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Nacional Potosi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 62% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 38%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.00 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional Potosi in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 35%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
5 Mar 2025
03:30 Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Analysis →
03:30 Uni. Catolica vs Palestino Analysis →
05:00 ADT vs Cienciano Analysis →