Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.09
2-3
38%
1.96
4-5
27%
2.65
6+
10%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.39
1/2
10%
24.2
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
12%
6.01
X/2
12%
6.28
X/X
17%
5.78
2/1
12%
23.35
2/2
16%
3.62
2/X
4%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.35 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.56/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.65
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.8 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
324 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2026 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CON
12.03.2026 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
09.11.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
02.11.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
25.10.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
19.10.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-5 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
4-1
AWAY Inter Miami
2.41 xG 1.83
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
323 Passes 430
41 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC ran out comfortable winners over Inter Miami 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nashville SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.41 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 2.33 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 34%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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