CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CF Montreal v DC United — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
DC United
CONLK
CF Montreal 1-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.35 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CF Montreal and 1.50 for DC United.
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?
CF Montreal 1-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 26%, DC United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.