Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Toronto FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.24 to 2.22 — on chances, New England Revolution could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Toronto FC and 0.83 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated an New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 34%, draw 28%, New England Revolution 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.