New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New England Revolution v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Toronto FC
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
New England Revolution
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
New England Revolution
ABD
New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
New England Revolution and Toronto FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New England Revolution had 53% of the ball to Toronto FC's 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New England Revolution and 0.83 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 47%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.