San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 2-4 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC saw off San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 66% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 34%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.40 to 2.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.83 for Los Angeles FC.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
San Jose Earthquakes 2-4 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 30%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.