Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.37
2-3 Goals
34%
2.23
4-5 Goals
32%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
20%
3.66
X/2
6%
22.3
X/X
10%
10.15
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
19.7
2/2
6%
15.1
2/X
7%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.02
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.9 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.91 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
453 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-1 HT 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes CONLK
23.06.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 6-2 HT 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
05.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.07.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
07.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
3-1
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.84 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
423 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC saw off San Jose Earthquakes 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 56% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 44%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.67 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 60%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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