DC United 1-1 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.43
1/2
6%
21.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
6%
7.76
X/2
15%
4.72
X/X
14%
5.34
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
26%
2.53
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 52%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.03/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.71
-20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.3 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.13 xG 1.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 4-1 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
07.07.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 5-0 HT 3-0 DC United DC United ABD
14.04.2024 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
23.04.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-3 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
12.03.2023 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
01.08.2022 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-1
AWAY Orlando City
0.32 xG 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
254 Passes 508
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 46
3 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH DC United vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and Orlando City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, DC United had 36% of the ball to Orlando City's 64%, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 0.32 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 2.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of DC United vs Orlando City?

DC United 1-1 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split DC United 26%, draw 28%, Orlando City 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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