Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC edged past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Los Angeles FC had 49% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 51%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.49 to 2.12 — on chances, San Jose Earthquakes could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 48%, draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.