Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.14
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.44
2-3 Goals
40%
2.26
4-5 Goals
23%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.88
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
26%
4.6
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
9%
7.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
16.95
2/2
6%
7.46
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.95 — our 12% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
2.13/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.52
+20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
13.4 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Nashville SC
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.89 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
491 Passes 384
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-5 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
13.07.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
30.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.04.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
14.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CON
08.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Nashville SC
2.34 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
423 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami beat Nashville SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 55% of the ball to Nashville SC's 45%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.34 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?

Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 62%, draw 21%, Nashville SC 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →