FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME FC Flora Tallinn The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.65
0.60 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.32
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
437 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.04.2026 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.11.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
24.08.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.05.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
29.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-3
AWAY FC Kuressaare
28 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Kuressaare nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our model won't enjoy this one — FC Flora Tallinn at 65% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The market had leaned harder still (1.37, ~73%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, shots finished 28-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for FC Flora Tallinn against 0.50 for FC Kuressaare.

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare Result & Final Score

FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 65%, draw 16%, FC Kuressaare 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5
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