Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.43
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over Pick
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.67
No
50%
2.07
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Nomme JK Kalju The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus The Market 19%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.50 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
0.93 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.72
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2026 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.04.2026 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.10.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
REVIEW Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nomme JK Kalju had too much for Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

From a near-even 33% / 33% / 33% read, it was Nomme JK Kalju who turned the coin-flip their way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.67, about 60%.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.50 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Result & Final Score

Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 33%, draw 33%, Parnu JK Vaprus 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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