Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nomme JK Kalju v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals
Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics
Nomme JK Kalju squeezed past Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 58% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 42%, shots finished 20-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.
What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 57%, draw 20%, Parnu JK Vaprus 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.